Good News for Ruto as UDA Surges Ahead, Leaving DCP & Wiper Struggling in Latest 2025 Polls

Kenya’s political landscape is taking shape for the 2027 elections, and President William Ruto’s United Democratic Alliance (UDA) appears to be riding a wave of momentum.

According to the latest 2025 polls, UDA leads the national party standings with 31.0% of voter support, a clear signal of strong incumbency advantage as the country heads toward the next general elections.

The Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) remains the principal opposition, holding 22.8% nationally.

While the party maintains a firm grip in its traditional strongholds, particularly Nyanza where it commands 55.8% of the vote, it is showing signs of vulnerability in Nairobi (24.7%) and Coast (39.6%), highlighting a need for strategic expansion beyond its established regions.

Emerging mid-tier players are beginning to reshape the political arithmetic.

Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua’s Democratic Choice Party (DCP) has captured 10.4% of national support, with a particularly strong showing in Mt. Kenya at 37.3%, marking it as a fast-rising regional powerhouse.

Jubilee Party holds 9.9% nationally, maintaining pockets of stability across Mt. Kenya, Rift Valley, and Nairobi.

Meanwhile, Kalonzo Musyoka’s Wiper Party sits at 9.6%, reflecting solid support in Lower Eastern where it posts an impressive 52.7%, demonstrating its enduring regional relevance.

The poll also underscores the strategic importance of minor parties and unaffiliated voters.

With 13.2% of the electorate yet to align with any party, the contest for Kenya’s largest swing bloc remains wide open, making coalition-building a critical factor for all major political actors.

Regionally, UDA consolidates its dominance with commanding leads in Rift Valley (56.3%) and North Eastern (49.5%), while showing strong performances in Coast, Nyanza, and Western regions.

ODM’s regional strength remains significant, but emerging contenders like DCP and the Wiper Party illustrate the evolving multi-polar dynamics of Kenyan politics.

As the 2027 elections approach, UDA’s clear lead offers President Ruto a strong platform, but the fragmentation among mid-tier parties and the substantial swing voter bloc ensure that the race is far from decided.

Kenya’s political map is reshaping, and the next two years promise high-stakes maneuvering.