Mbadi Claims 2027 Presidential Race Is Settled, Urges ODM to Plan for 2032

Treasury Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi has stirred political debate after declaring that the outcome of Kenya’s 2027 presidential election is already decided, warning that continued uncertainty within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) could deepen divisions in the party.

Speaking on Saturday in Kabondo Kasipul Constituency, Mbadi argued that President William Ruto faces no serious challenger ahead of the next General Election. 

He urged ODM leaders and supporters to shift their focus toward long-term planning for the 2032 polls instead of remaining divided over whether to support Ruto’s re-election bid.

According to Mbadi, mixed signals from ODM leaders regarding their support for President Ruto risk polarising the party and weakening its political influence. 

He said the party must be honest with itself and make strategic decisions based on political realities.

“We must strategise and be tactful. We must form alliances that make sense,” Mbadi said. 

“You cannot say we are with someone up to 2027 and then ask what happens after that. The president of 2027 is already decided.”

The Treasury CS, who previously served as ODM chairperson, insisted that no new political figure is likely to emerge and mount a serious challenge against Ruto in 2027. 

He dismissed claims that a fresh candidate could alter the political landscape in the next election.

“There is no new candidate who will come and make an impact. That is not true,” Mbadi said, adding that the opposition should instead begin laying the groundwork for the post-Ruto era.

Mbadi challenged ODM members who are uncomfortable with supporting President Ruto to openly declare their political stance rather than remaining indecisive. 

He suggested that those opposed to Ruto should consider aligning themselves with former Deputy President Rigathi Gachagua and other opposition figures.

“If you are not satisfied, then say it openly and support Gachagua or his allies,” Mbadi said. “But we should stop wasting time pretending.”

He further argued that preparing for the 2032 elections would require broad alliances and cooperation across political divides. 

According to Mbadi, ODM cannot position itself for future success if it insists on operating in isolation.

“You cannot prepare yourself for 2032 if you want to work alone,” he said. 

“Either we work with the united opposition of Gachagua, Kalonzo, or we remain behind Ruto, give him a second chance, and plan properly for 2032. Those are the only realistic options.”

Mbadi also expressed dissatisfaction with ODM leaders who argue that the party’s support for Ruto should only last until 2027 under the broad-based government agreement negotiated by the party’s former leader, the late Raila Odinga.

He warned that failing to honour the spirit of the agreement could strain relations between ODM and the President, potentially undermining the cooperation that currently exists within the broad-based government framework.

“Failure to stick to what we agreed on will injure our relationship,” Mbadi said, stressing that political trust is built on consistency and reliability.

The Treasury CS further stated that ODM should only work with political partners who have demonstrated commitment and reliability in past engagements.

“We cannot work with people who have gone down previously,” he said. “We can only work with people who have shown that they can work with us.”

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