Owidi suggests that Wanga has begun to push a narrative to the Luo community: the political positions they secure in the next government will depend on how many seats the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) wins in Parliament.
Owidi, however, doesn’t mince words in his criticism, accusing the political establishment of misleading the Luo people for years, keeping them in a "continuous slumber."
He argues that while President William Ruto requires votes for re-election, it’s not ODM MPs that will decide his fate.
Owidi highlights a telling example: "President Ruto gave the Mountain eight cabinet slots, even without their own political party."
The analyst raises an eyebrow at what he perceives as Wanga's real political play.
Could the Homa Bay governor be more focused on securing a post-election coalition with Ruto rather than rallying Luo support for him ahead of time?
Owidi suspects that Wanga may see this as a safer route, claiming that it has historically been easy to secure seats in Luo Nyanza by positioning as opposition-friendly candidates.
Drawing attention to this shift in tactics, Owidi also implies that Wanga might be reading from the same script as her political ally, Siaya Senator James Orengo.
While Orengo might have already chosen his side, Wanga, according to Owidi, still needs "the government's protection" — and may ultimately pivot if the political winds shift.
The analyst draws a sharp conclusion: "This could be a double bet."
He references a famous quote by Maximilien Robespierre: "The secret of freedom lies in educating people, whereas the secret of tyranny is in keeping them ignorant."
Owidi suggests we revisit this moment in 2027 to see how the political chessboard unfolds.
As 2027 approaches, the Luo community may find themselves at the crossroads of political allegiances — and the stakes have never been higher.
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Politics